金融危机下的我国财政风险测度

次贷危机影响了我国的经济和财政态势,经济增长放缓使得财政的收支压力逐步凸显,风险增大。本文采用在国际上得到广泛采纳的风险指标法对我国当前的财政风险状况进行了度量,结论是短期内风险虽有所增加,但仍处在可控范围内;中长期则需要对政策作出适当调整,以降低未来的风险。     

优化化工过程 提高综合效益

化工行业是我国国民经济的支柱产业之一,其发展直接关系到整个国民经济的繁荣,化工工业具有原料,产品,工艺,技术多方案性的基本特征,这种多方案性深刻蕴含着经济的盈亏,社会效益的大小与环境保护的优势,即综合效益。本文有效的利用优化技术解决化工工业中的实际问题,增加综合效益。     

云南省居民消费、投资与经济增长的协整分析

本文根据1985～2005年的数据,运用协整理论、Granger因果关系检验等计量方法,对云南省居民消费、固定资产投资与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析,并在此基础上,提出了相应的政策建议。     

西部收入偏低亟待改革

改革开放以来，由于各种原因使得我国地区之间的经济发展水平和收入水平有了很大的差距。对于这些差距，我们可以通过对人均经济收入、人均财政收入、城镇居民可支配收入、农民人均纯收入、人均国际收入等五个指标的分析中详细地看到。从客观性和可行性的意义上讲，西部地区要在短时期内消除这些差距，是根本不可能的。因此，作为西部地区来讲，应该选择实事求是的态度，既要正视这些差距的长期存在，又要通过体制创新、政策创新、战略创新等，努力探索试图缩小差距的途径和对策。     

Risk Arbitrage in Takeovers

This article studies the role of risk arbitrageurs in takeoversand the source of their advantage. We show how the presenceof arbitrageurs affects the value of the target shares, sincearbitrageurs are more likely to tender. Therefore an arbitrageurhas the informational advantage of knowing he bought shares.In equilibrium, the number of arbitrageurs buying shares andthe price they pay are determined endogenously. We also presentseveral empirical implications, including the relationship amongtrading volume, takeover premium, liquidity of the shares, andthe number of risk arbitrageurs investing in one particulardeal.     

通货膨胀的各种成因及其在我国的实证分析

本文不仅总结了当前主要的实证研究文献提出的我国通货膨胀的种种成因,而且对每种原因给予了比较分析和新的实证分析,并在此基础上尝试进行了综合分析,以得出一些有益的结论。     

国外商业养老保险税收制度比较

本文试图通过比较部分发达国家和一些发展中国家的商业养老保险税收制度,同时分析归纳国外养老保险改革及其税制研究趋势,旨在对我国商业养老保险税制改革及促进发展商业保险有所启示,对上海率先实施个人税延型养老保险试点的相关政策措施有所借鉴。     

ANALYST REPUTATION,DEALER AFFILIATION,AND MARKET MAKING

We investigate the effects of analysts' affiliation and reputation on dealers' market making activities. We find that for a given stock, dealers who have affiliated analysts covering the stock quote and trade more aggressively than those who do not have any affiliated analysts. More important, the reputation of affiliated analysts plays an additional role in the affiliated dealer's quote and trade behavior. Dealers with affiliated star analysts post more aggressive quotes and have larger market shares than dealers with affiliated nonstar analysts. Although dealers who post more aggressive quotes also induce affiliated star analysts to cover the stocks, the positive effect of analyst reputation on the affiliated dealers' quote aggressiveness remains significant and robust after controlling for potential endogenous and simultaneous problems.     

How Has Rural Tax Reform Affected Farmers and Local Governance in China？

Using nationally representative data, the present paper examines the impact of China's ongoing rural tax reform on farmers. The difficulties in further local governance restructuring are also discussed. It is argued that the issues associated with rural taxation and local governance in China result from inherent tension between an increasingly liberalized economic system and a still centralized political system. Although rural tax reform has helped to reduce farmers' tax burdens in the short term, the establishment of an effective local governance regime requires coordinated reforms to downsize local bureaucracy by providing social security for laid-off cadres, to strengthen local accountability by granting higher local formal tax autonomy, and to promote meaningful participation by expanding local democracy.     

整顿后海南导游员的问题成因分析及对策

2006年,海南旅游业进行全面大整顿,涉及到整个产业链的各个环节.时隔近一年,现今海南导游行业情况依旧.旅行社所提供的工作平台,是导致海南导游业现今状况的主要因素.本文对旅行社产业的现状进行立论剖析,指出产业升级和产品布局两个大方面才是解决问题的根本,政府监管机制的完善主要在明晰产业管辖权和组建行业管委会两方面.